11.5.11

Trade Idea: AUD/USD – Hold short entered at 1.0875







Elliott Wave Daily / Written by Action Forex / May 11 11 08:22 GMT


Source link:http://www.actionforex.com/trading-signals/elliott-wave-daily/trade-idea:-aud%10usd-%e2%80%93-hold-short-entered-at-1.0875-20110511139662/

AUD/USD – 1.0872

Recent wave: Wave 4 ended at 0.8066 and wave 5 has possibly ended at 1.1012

Trend: Up

Original strategy :

Sold at 1.0875, Target: 1.0600, Stop: 1.0940

New strategy :

Hold short entered at 1.0875, Target: 1.0600, Stop: 1.0940

Although the Australian dollar has continued to edge higher, if our view a temporary top has been formed at 1.1012 is correct, upside would be limited to 1.0900 and bring retreat later, a break of yesterday’s low at 1.0736 would suggest the rebound from 1.0537 has possibly ended and bring weakness to 1.0660/65, below there would confirm this view and another fall towards said support would follow.

In view of this, we are holding on to our short position entered at 1.0875. Only above 1.0930/35 would abort and risk a stronger rebound to 1.0980/90 but break of recent high of 1.1012 is needed to confirm uptrend has resumed.

Our preferred count on the 4-hour chart is that the move from 0.8066 is the wave 5 with i: 0.8860, ii: 0.8315, wave iii is an extended move with 1: 0.9223, 2: 0.8770, 3: 1.0183, iv: 0.9536 and wave 5 of 3 has either ended at 1.1012 or may bring one more rise to 1.1060 (61.8% projection of 0.8066-1.0257 measuring from 0.9706).
Click image to enlarge
On the bigger picture, the major rise from 0.6007 is wave (B) and only wave iii of wave C has ended at 0.9407, followed by wave 4 at 0.8066 and wave 5 is still in progress and may extend to 1.1060 but reckon 1.1150 would hold.


About the Author
Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF


Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1330 - 1400